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Low graduation rate is a significant and growing problem in U.S. higher education systems. Although previous studies have demonstrated the usefulness of building statistical models for predicting students' graduation outcomes, advanced machine learning models promise to improve the effectiveness of these models, and hone in on the “difference that makes a difference” not only on the group level, but also on the level of the individual student. In this paper we propose an ensemble support vector machines based model for predicting students' graduation. Up to about 100 features, including a set of psychological-educational factors, were employed to construct the predicting model. We evaluated the proposed model using data taken from a state university's longitudinal, cohort data sets from the incoming classes of students from 2011-2012 (n=350). The experimental results demonstrated the effectiveness of the model, with considerable accuracy, precision, and recall. This paper presents the results of analysis that were conducted in order to gauge the predictive capability of a machine learning algorithm to predict on-time graduation that took into consideration students' learning and development.
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Convolutional neural networks (CNN) are a class of machine learning model that are especially well suited for imagebased tasks. In this study, we design and train a CNN on tissue samples imaged using Multi-Photon Microscopy (MPM) and show that the model can distinguish between chromophobe renal cell carcinoma (chRCC) and oncocytoma. We demonstrate the method to train a model using simple max-pooling vote fusion, and use the model to highlight regions of the input that cause a positive classification. The model can be tuned for higher sensitivity at the cost of specificity with a constant threshold and little impact to accuracy overall. Several numerical experiments were run to measure the model’s accuracy on both image and patient level analysis. Our models were designed with a dropout parameter that biases the model towards higher sensitivity or specificity. Our best performance model, as measured by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC of ROC, or AUROC) on patient level classification, is measured with a 94% AUROC and 88% accuracy, along with 100% sensitivity and 75% specificity.
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A clear distinction between oncocytoma and chromophobe renal cell carcinoma (chRCC) is critically important for clinical management of patients. But it may often be difficult to distinguish the two entities based on hematoxylin and eosin (H and E) stained sections alone. In this study, second harmonic generation (SHG) signals which are very specific to collagen were used to image collagen fibril structure. We conduct a pilot study to develop a new diagnostic method based on the analysis of collagen associated with kidney tumors using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). CNNs comprise a type of machine learning process well-suited for drawing information out of images. This study examines a CNN model's ability to differentiate between oncocytoma (benign), and chRCC (malignant) kidney tumor images acquired with second harmonic generation (SHG), which is very specific for collagen matrix. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study that attempts to distinguish the two entities based on their collagen structure. The model developed from this study demonstrated an overall classification accuracy of 68.7% with a specificity of 66.3% and sensitivity of 74.6%. While these results reflect an ability to classify the kidney tumors better than chance, further studies will be carried out to (a) better realize the tumor classification potential of this method with a larger sample size and (b) combining SHG with two-photon excited intrinsic fluorescence signal to achieve better classification. © COPYRIGHT SPIE. Downloading of the abstract is permitted for personal use only.
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- Conference Paper (3)