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U.S. stock markets and the role of real interest rates

Resource type
Authors/contributors
Title
U.S. stock markets and the role of real interest rates
Abstract
Using weekly data from January 3, 2003 to March 27, 2015, we examine the responses of U.S. stock returns (S&P 500, DJIA, and NASDAQ) to monetary policy, controlling for WTI oil prices and the value of the U.S. dollar (USD) against major currencies. Based on differences between the federal funds rate and inflation expectations, U.S. real interest rates have become continuously negative since January 28, 2009. Vector auto-regressions (VARs) suggest stronger linkages more recently and vine copula models identify the structure of dependence across these markets, which can help investors optimize portfolio diversification.
Publication
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
Date
2016-02-01
Volume
59
Pages
231-242
Journal Abbr
The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance
Citation Key
huangUSStockMarkets2016
Accessed
10/31/24, 2:11 PM
ISSN
1062-9769
Library Catalog
ScienceDirect
Citation
Huang, W., Mollick, A. V., & Nguyen, K. H. (2016). U.S. stock markets and the role of real interest rates. The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 59, 231–242. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2015.07.006